1 Conspiracies about Climate Change [Warmist]

1.1 Items
1.2 Descriptives

1.2.1 Means, SD, Range, & SE
1.2.2 Proportions
1.2.3 Distributions
1.2.4 Correlations

1.3 Demographics

1.3.1 Social Class
1.3.2 Gender
1.3.3 Age
1.3.4 Education
1.3.5 Income Levels
1.3.6 Ethnicity
1.3.7 Occupation
1.3.8 Area
1.3.9 Religious Affiliation

1.4 Political Behavior

1.4.1 Political Orientation
1.4.2 Religiosity
1.4.3 Religiosity & Political Orientation
1.4.4 Candidate Preferences
1.4.5 Party Preferences
1.4.6 Voting
1.4.7 Party Identity
1.4.8 Party Identity [2 samples]
1.4.9 Voting & Party Identity
1.4.10 Likeability
1.4.11 Trump’s Likebility
1.4.12 Clinton’s Likebility
1.4.13 Johnson’s Likebility

1.5 Politico-Psychological correlates of Warmist Climate Conspiracies

1.5.1 Ideology and Partisanship & Warmist Climate Conspiracies
1.5.2 Nationalism, Nativism, Patriotism, Populism, and Conspiracies
1.5.3 Political Psychology & Warmist Climate Conspiracies
1.5.4 Values & Warmist Climate Conspiracies
1.5.5 Positive and Negative correlates of Warmist Climate Conspiracies

1 Conspiracies about Climate Change [Warmist]

1.1 Items

Conspiracies about Climate Change

Climate scientists and their political allies are deliberately misleading the public about global warming. [Denialist]
Selfish interests are scheming to convince the public that global warming is a major threat. [Denialist]
Oil companies and their political allies are deliberately misleading the public about global warming. [Warmist]
Selfish interests are scheming to convince the public that global warming is not a major threat. [Warmist]

All items were asked in 9-point scale raning from 1 (Strongly Disagree) to 9 (Strongly Agree).

1.2 Descriptives

1.2.1 Means, SD, Range, & SE

Descriptives for Warmist Climate Change Items
	vars	n	mean	sd	min	max	range	se
Oil companies	1	1500	5.59	2.19	1	9	8	0.06
Convince GW not major threat	2	1500	5.55	2.37	1	9	8	0.06
Means	3	1500	5.57	1.97	1	9	8	0.05

1.2.2 Proportions

1.2.3 Distributions

1.2.4 Correlations

1.3 Demographics

1.3.1 Social Class

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by SES

Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by SES
SES	N	Mean	SD
Rich	90	-0.19	1.04
Upper Middle Class	395	-0.05	1.04
Middle Middle Class	679	0.03	0.97
Poor	38	0.03	0.97
Lower Middle Class	298	0.05	0.99

1.3.2 Gender

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Gender

Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Gender
Gender	N	Mean	SD
Male	740	-0.08	1.06
Female	760	0.08	0.93

1.3.3 Age

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Age

Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Age
Age	N	Mean	SD
65+	254	-0.28	1.00
35-44 years	263	-0.04	1.05
55-64 years	234	-0.04	1.00
45-54 years	292	0.04	0.98
25-34 years	264	0.13	0.99
18-24 years	193	0.23	0.88

1.3.4 Education

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Education

Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Education
Education	N	Mean	SD
Bachelor	310	-0.13	1.02
Graduate	193	-0.07	1.04
Less than High-school	51	-0.02	1.05
High-school	475	0.05	0.96
Some college	471	0.06	1.00

1.3.5 Income Levels

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Income Levels

Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Income Levels
Income Levels	N	Mean	SD
$150,000 +	95	-0.23	1.08
$100,000-$149,999	160	-0.07	1.06
$15,000-$24,999	180	-0.02	0.94
$50,000-$74,999	292	-0.01	0.97
$75,000-$99,999	192	0.01	1.03
$35,000-$49,999	227	0.03	0.95
Less than $15,000	178	0.03	1.01
$25,000-$34,999	176	0.14	1.01

1.3.6 Ethnicity

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Ethnicity

Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Ethnicity
Ethnicity	N	Mean	SD
Caucasian/European origin	1237	-0.04	1.00
Latino	88	0.08	0.97
Other	18	0.09	0.88
Asian/Pacific Islander	29	0.19	0.91
Black/African America	115	0.28	1.01
Native American	13	0.43	0.99

1.3.7 Occupation

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Occupation

Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Occupation
Occupation	N	Mean	SD
Retired	268	-0.20	0.98
Parent	104	-0.11	0.93
Disabled	98	-0.04	1.03
Employed	768	0.04	1.02
Full-time caregiver	31	0.05	0.93
Unemployed	146	0.12	0.95
Student	85	0.25	0.93

1.3.8 Area

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Area

Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Area
Area	N	Mean	SD
Rural	545	-0.10	1
Urban	955	0.05	1

1.3.9 Religious Affiliation

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Religious Affiliation

Warmist Climate Conspiracies as grouped by Religious Affiliation
Religious Affiliation	N	Mean	SD
Jewish	52	-0.17	1.18
Christian	1014	-0.11	0.97
No religion	195	0.10	0.97
Muslim	9	0.11	1.01
Atheist/Agnostic	230	0.42	1.02

1.4 Political Behavior

1.4.1 Political Orientation

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Political Orientation

Political Orientation

Social Political Orientation

Economic Political Orientation

Composite Political Orientation

(Intercept)

7.77 ***

7.42 – 8.12

7.68 ***

7.29 – 8.07

8.15 ***

7.78 – 8.53

7.87 ***

7.53 – 8.21

Warmist Climate Conspiracies

-0.44 ***

-0.50 – -0.38

-0.49 ***

-0.56 – -0.43

-0.48 ***

-0.54 – -0.42

-0.47 ***

-0.53 – -0.41

Observations

1500

R² / adj. R²

.125 / .125

.124 / .123

.129 / .128

.146 / .146

Notes

* p<.05 ** p<.01 *** p<.001

Political Orientation

Social Political Orientation

Economic Political Orientation

Composite Political Orientation

(Intercept)

4.77 ***

4.22 – 5.31

4.45 ***

3.86 – 5.04

4.96 ***

4.35 – 5.57

4.73 ***

4.20 – 5.25

Warmist Climate Conspiracies

-0.32 ***

-0.38 – -0.27

-0.35 ***

-0.41 – -0.29

-0.38 ***

-0.44 – -0.32

-0.35 ***

-0.40 – -0.30

Age

0.20 ***

0.13 – 0.26

0.20 ***

0.12 – 0.27

0.20 ***

0.13 – 0.28

0.20 ***

0.13 – 0.26

Income

0.09 **

0.03 – 0.15

0.00

-0.06 – 0.07

0.14 ***

0.07 – 0.20

0.08 **

0.02 – 0.13

Religiosity

0.34 ***

0.30 – 0.38

0.46 ***

0.41 – 0.50

0.26 ***

0.21 – 0.30

0.35 ***

0.31 – 0.39

Education

-0.16 **

-0.27 – -0.05

-0.20 ***

-0.32 – -0.08

-0.01

-0.13 – 0.12

-0.12 *

-0.23 – -0.02

Observations

1500

R² / adj. R²

.307 / .305

.360 / .357

.242 / .240

.341 / .339

Notes

* p<.05 ** p<.01 *** p<.001

1.4.2 Religiosity

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Religiosity

1.4.3 Religiosity & Political Orientation

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Religiosity & Political Orientation

1.4.4 Candidate Preferences

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Candidate Preferences

Candidate Preferences and Warmist Climate Conspiracies [centered]
Candidate Preference	N	Mean	SD
Ted Cruz	122	-0.56	0.98
Rand Paul	44	-0.50	0.93
Jeb Bush	83	-0.33	0.82
Donald Trump	444	-0.27	0.92
Gary Johnson	68	-0.13	0.84
Hillary Clinton	371	0.24	0.96
Bernie Sanders	362	0.43	0.97

Candidate Preferences and Warmist Climate Conspiracies [raw means]
Candidate Preferences	N	Mean	SD	Range
Ted Cruz	122	4.47	1.93	1-9
Rand Paul	44	4.59	1.83	1-9
Jeb Bush	83	4.93	1.61	1-9
Donald Trump	444	5.04	1.81	1-9
Gary Johnson	68	5.32	1.65	1-9
Hillary Clinton	371	6.05	1.88	1-9
Bernie Sanders	362	6.41	1.91	1-9

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Candidate Preferences

1.4.5 Party Preferences

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Party Preferences

Party Preferences and Warmist Climate Conspiracies [centered]
Party Preference	N	Mean	SD
Tea Party	68	-0.67	1.15
Republican Party	508	-0.29	0.84
Constitution Party	14	-0.27	0.99
Libertarian Party	100	-0.27	1.02
None	120	-0.10	0.94
Don’t know	90	0.00	0.86
Democratic Party	560	0.36	0.99
Green Party	40	0.95	0.87

Party Preferences and Warmist Climate Conspiracies [raw means]
Party Preferences	N	Mean	SD	Range
Tea Party	68	4.26	2.27	1-9
Republican Party	508	4.99	1.66	1-9
Constitution Party	14	5.04	1.94	1-9
Libertarian Party	100	5.04	2.00	1-9
None	120	5.38	1.86	1-9
Don’t know	90	5.56	1.68	1-9
Democratic Party	560	6.27	1.94	1-9
Green Party	40	7.44	1.71	1-9

1.4.6 Voting

2016 [Trump vs. Clinton]

2016 [Trump vs. Clinton] + Supporters

2012 [Romney vs. Obama]

2008 [McCain vs. Obama]

Odds Ratio

(Intercept)

0.11 ***

0.07 – 0.17

0.12 ***

0.08 – 0.19

0.14 ***

0.10 – 0.20

0.17 ***

0.11 – 0.24

Warmist Climate Conspiracies

1.48 ***

1.38 – 1.59

1.45 ***

1.36 – 1.55

1.47 ***

1.37 – 1.57

1.42 ***

1.34 – 1.52

Observations

1103

1148

1236

1206

Notes

* p<.05 ** p<.01 *** p<.001

1.4.7 Party Identity

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Party Identity

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies, Party Identity and Voting

Tables meant for checking the number of observations in each category of the above graph.

Party Identity & Voting
	Donald Trump	Hilary Clinton
Strong Democrat	4	323
Democrat	27	129
Leaning Democrat	10	65
Independent	17	16
Leaning Republican	58	7
Republican	166	24
Strong Republican	282	7

1.4.8 Party Identity [2 samples]

1.4.8.1 with both representative (N = 1500) and convinience (2119) samples.

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies, Party Identity and Voting

Tables meant for checking the number of observations in each category of the above graph.

Party Identity and Party Identity & Voting [N = 3619]
	Donald Trump	Hilary Clinton
Strong Democrat	6	649
Democrat	58	307
Leaning Democrat	18	196
Independent	70	46
Leaning Republican	181	15
Republican	440	57
Strong Republican	748	12

1.4.9 Voting & Party Identity

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Party Identity & Voting Preferences

		2016 [Clinton vs. Trump]		2016 [Trump vs. Clinton] + Supporters
		Odds Ratio	CI	Odds Ratio	CI
(Intercept)		5.539 ***	2.558 – 12.575	4.505 ***	2.215 – 9.520
Party Identity		0.006 ***	0.004 – 0.010	0.008 ***	0.005 – 0.012
Warmist Climate Conspiracies		1.165 *	1.029 – 1.318	1.174 **	1.047 – 1.317
Observations		1103		1148
Notes	* p<.05 p<.01 * p<.001

1.4.10 Likeability

1.4.11 Trump’s Likebility

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Trump’s Likebility

1.4.12 Clinton’s Likebility

Figure X. Warmist Climate Conspiracies & Clinton’s Likebility