Conspiracy Mindset
“Some political and social events are debated (for example 09/11 attacks, the death of Lady Diana, the assassination of John F. Kennedy). It is suggested that the ‘official version’ of these events could be an attempt to hide the truth to the public. This ‘official version’ could mask the fact that these events have been planned and secretly prepared by a covert alliance of powerful individuals or organizations (for example secret services or government). What do you think?”
Conspiracy about 2016 Election
Conspiracy about 2016 Election’s Media Coverage
All items were asked in 9-point scale raning from 1 (Definitely False) to 9 (Definitely True)
vars | n | mean | sd | min | max | range | se | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mindset | 1 | 1500 | 6.21 | 2.19 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 0.06 |
2016 Election | 2 | 1500 | 4.99 | 2.67 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 0.07 |
Media Coverage | 3 | 1500 | 5.74 | 2.02 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 0.05 |
All Items | 4 | 1500 | 5.65 | 1.93 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 0.05 |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mindset | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.30 | 0.07 | 0.19 |
2016 Election | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 |
Media Coverage | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.33 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.12 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset as grouped by Gender
Gender | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
Male | 740 | -0.05 | 1.04 |
Female | 760 | 0.05 | 0.96 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset as grouped by Age
Age | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
55-64 years | 234 | -0.20 | 1.04 |
45-54 years | 292 | -0.02 | 1.03 |
65+ | 254 | -0.02 | 1.00 |
25-34 years | 264 | 0.02 | 0.94 |
35-44 years | 263 | 0.02 | 1.02 |
18-24 years | 193 | 0.24 | 0.90 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset as grouped by Education
Education | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
Graduate | 193 | -0.38 | 1.04 |
Bachelor | 310 | -0.27 | 1.01 |
Some college | 471 | 0.11 | 1.01 |
Less than High-school | 51 | 0.19 | 0.85 |
High-school | 475 | 0.20 | 0.90 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset as grouped by Income Levels
Income Levels | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
$150,000 + | 95 | -0.34 | 1.10 |
$100,000-$149,999 | 160 | -0.22 | 1.15 |
$75,000-$99,999 | 192 | -0.16 | 0.91 |
$35,000-$49,999 | 227 | -0.01 | 0.99 |
$50,000-$74,999 | 292 | 0.02 | 0.98 |
Less than $15,000 | 178 | 0.13 | 0.96 |
$25,000-$34,999 | 176 | 0.15 | 0.99 |
$15,000-$24,999 | 180 | 0.26 | 0.89 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset as grouped by Ethnicity
Ethnicity | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
Latino | 88 | -0.02 | 0.84 |
Caucasian/European origin | 1237 | -0.02 | 1.02 |
Asian/Pacific Islander | 29 | 0.04 | 0.97 |
Black/African America | 115 | 0.11 | 0.89 |
Other | 18 | 0.24 | 0.77 |
Native American | 13 | 0.62 | 1.11 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset as grouped by Occupation
Occupation | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
Retired | 268 | -0.07 | 1.00 |
Employed | 768 | -0.06 | 1.02 |
Unemployed | 146 | 0.05 | 0.99 |
Student | 85 | 0.06 | 0.90 |
Parent | 104 | 0.19 | 0.95 |
Disabled | 98 | 0.23 | 1.01 |
Full-time caregiver | 31 | 0.28 | 0.83 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset as grouped by Area
Area | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
Urban | 955 | -0.06 | 1.02 |
Rural | 545 | 0.10 | 0.96 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset as grouped by Religious Affiliation
Religious Affiliation | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
Jewish | 52 | -0.56 | 1.08 |
Atheist/Agnostic | 230 | -0.26 | 1.11 |
Christian | 1014 | 0.06 | 0.96 |
No religion | 195 | 0.12 | 0.95 |
Muslim | 9 | 0.16 | 1.06 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Political Orientation
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Political Orientation
Political Orientation | Social Political Orientation | Economic Political Orientation | Composite Political Orientation | |||||||||
B | CI | B | CI | B | CI | B | CI | |||||
(Intercept) | 3.27 *** | 2.90 – 3.64 | 2.47 *** | 2.06 – 2.89 | 3.88 *** | 3.48 – 4.29 | 3.21 *** | 2.84 – 3.57 | ||||
Conspiracy Mindset | 0.36 *** | 0.30 – 0.42 | 0.43 *** | 0.37 – 0.50 | 0.28 *** | 0.21 – 0.35 | 0.36 *** | 0.30 – 0.42 | ||||
Observations | 1500 | 1500 | 1500 | 1500 | ||||||||
R2 / adj. R2 | .080 / .079 | .092 / .091 | .043 / .042 | .081 / .081 | ||||||||
Notes | * p<.05 ** p<.01 *** p<.001 |
Political Orientation | Social Political Orientation | Economic Political Orientation | Composite Political Orientation | |||||||||
B | CI | B | CI | B | CI | B | CI | |||||
(Intercept) | 0.52 | -0.02 – 1.06 | -0.16 | -0.75 – 0.42 | 0.58 | -0.04 – 1.20 | 0.31 | -0.21 – 0.84 | ||||
Conspiracy Mindset | 0.31 *** | 0.25 – 0.37 | 0.34 *** | 0.28 – 0.40 | 0.28 *** | 0.21 – 0.34 | 0.31 *** | 0.25 – 0.36 | ||||
Age | 0.26 *** | 0.19 – 0.33 | 0.27 *** | 0.19 – 0.34 | 0.27 *** | 0.19 – 0.35 | 0.26 *** | 0.20 – 0.33 | ||||
Income | 0.11 *** | 0.05 – 0.17 | 0.02 | -0.04 – 0.09 | 0.16 *** | 0.09 – 0.22 | 0.10 *** | 0.04 – 0.15 | ||||
Religiosity | 0.34 *** | 0.30 – 0.38 | 0.46 *** | 0.42 – 0.50 | 0.27 *** | 0.23 – 0.32 | 0.36 *** | 0.32 – 0.40 | ||||
Education | -0.05 | -0.16 – 0.06 | -0.08 | -0.20 – 0.04 | 0.10 | -0.03 – 0.23 | -0.01 | -0.12 – 0.10 | ||||
Observations | 1500 | 1500 | 1500 | 1500 | ||||||||
R2 / adj. R2 | .298 / .296 | .353 / .351 | .204 / .202 | .320 / .318 | ||||||||
Notes | * p<.05 ** p<.01 *** p<.001 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Religiosity
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Religiosity & Political Orientation
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Candidate Preferences
Candidate Preference | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
Hillary Clinton | 371 | -0.48 | 0.91 |
Jeb Bush | 83 | -0.38 | 0.83 |
Gary Johnson | 68 | -0.08 | 1.06 |
Bernie Sanders | 362 | -0.05 | 1.05 |
Ted Cruz | 122 | 0.07 | 0.94 |
Donald Trump | 444 | 0.46 | 0.84 |
Rand Paul | 44 | 0.46 | 0.95 |
Candidate Preferences | N | Mean | SD | Range |
---|---|---|---|---|
Hillary Clinton | 371 | 4.72 | 1.76 | 1-9 |
Jeb Bush | 83 | 4.92 | 1.60 | 1-9 |
Gary Johnson | 68 | 5.50 | 2.05 | 1-9 |
Bernie Sanders | 362 | 5.56 | 2.03 | 1-9 |
Ted Cruz | 122 | 5.78 | 1.80 | 1-9 |
Donald Trump | 444 | 6.53 | 1.61 | 1-9 |
Rand Paul | 44 | 6.53 | 1.83 | 1-9 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Candidate Preferences
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Party Preferences
Party Preference | N | Mean | SD |
---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 560 | -0.36 | 1.03 |
Don’t know | 90 | 0.08 | 0.87 |
Green Party | 40 | 0.13 | 1.04 |
Libertarian Party | 100 | 0.17 | 0.97 |
None | 120 | 0.18 | 0.93 |
Republican Party | 508 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
Constitution Party | 14 | 0.47 | 0.98 |
Tea Party | 68 | 0.52 | 0.88 |
Party Preferences | N | Mean | SD | Range |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 560 | 4.95 | 1.98 | 1-9 |
Don’t know | 90 | 5.80 | 1.67 | 1-9 |
Green Party | 40 | 5.90 | 2.01 | 1-9 |
Libertarian Party | 100 | 5.97 | 1.86 | 1-9 |
None | 120 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 1-9 |
Republican Party | 508 | 6.07 | 1.73 | 1-9 |
Constitution Party | 14 | 6.55 | 1.88 | 1-9 |
Tea Party | 68 | 6.65 | 1.70 | 1-9 |
2016 [Trump vs. Clinton] | 2016 [Trump vs. Clinton] + Supporters | 2012 [Romney vs. Obama] | 2008 [McCain vs. Obama] | |||||||||
Odds Ratio | CI | Odds Ratio | CI | Odds Ratio | CI | Odds Ratio | CI | |||||
(Intercept) | 26.34 *** | 16.35 – 43.43 | 25.08 *** | 15.76 – 40.82 | 4.78 *** | 3.32 – 6.94 | 4.98 *** | 3.44 – 7.27 | ||||
Conspiracy Mindset | 0.56 *** | 0.52 – 0.61 | 0.57 *** | 0.52 – 0.61 | 0.78 *** | 0.73 – 0.82 | 0.77 *** | 0.73 – 0.82 | ||||
Observations | 1103 | 1148 | 1236 | 1206 | ||||||||
Notes | * p<.05 ** p<.01 *** p<.001 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Party Identity
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset, Party Identity and Voting
Tables meant for checking the number of observations in each category of the above graph.
Donald Trump | Hilary Clinton | |
---|---|---|
Strong Democrat | 4 | 323 |
Democrat | 27 | 129 |
Leaning Democrat | 10 | 65 |
Independent | 17 | 16 |
Leaning Republican | 58 | 7 |
Republican | 166 | 24 |
Strong Republican | 282 | 7 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset, Party Identity and Voting
Tables meant for checking the number of observations in each category of the above graph.
Donald Trump | Hilary Clinton | |
---|---|---|
Strong Democrat | 6 | 649 |
Democrat | 58 | 307 |
Leaning Democrat | 18 | 196 |
Independent | 70 | 46 |
Leaning Republican | 181 | 15 |
Republican | 440 | 57 |
Strong Republican | 748 | 12 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Party Identity & Voting Preferences
2016 [Clinton vs. Trump] | 2016 [Trump vs. Clinton] + Supporters | |||||
Odds Ratio | CI | Odds Ratio | CI | |||
(Intercept) | 982.374 *** | 349.098 – 3060.083 | 668.183 *** | 258.380 – 1882.789 | ||
Party Identity | 0.004 *** | 0.002 – 0.006 | 0.005 *** | 0.003 – 0.008 | ||
Conspiracy Mindset | 0.487 *** | 0.415 – 0.564 | 0.502 *** | 0.433 – 0.576 | ||
Observations | 1103 | 1148 | ||||
Notes | * p<.05 ** p<.01 *** p<.001 |
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Trump’s Likebility
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Clinton’s Likebility
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset & Johnson’s Likebility
Figure X. Correlates of Conspiracy Mindset
Figure X. Correlates of Conspiracy Mindset
Figure X. Correlates of Conspiracy Mindset
Figure X. Correlates of Conspiracy Mindset
Figure X. Correlates of Conspiracy Mindset
Figure X. Correlates of Conspiracy Mindset
1.3.1 Social Class
Figure X. Conspiracy Mindset as grouped by SES