Dangerous & Competitive Worldview [2016]

A Politico-Psychological Analysis

Report generated

March 23, 2026

1 Study Characteristics

1.1 Items: Dangerous & Competitive Worldview

1.2 Sample

N=1500

To conduct a exploratory and a confirmatory large surveys during the general election, we hired a professional survey firm (SSI, a US-based market research company that recruits participants from a panel of 7,139,027 American citizens; more information can be found at www.surveysampling.com (now https://www.dynata.com/) to recruit a nationally representative sample of 1,500 Americans (50.7% women) who completed study materials during the general election from August 16-September 9, 2016. (Information about sampling and exclusion criteria is included in the Supplement). The age distribution was as follows: 18-24 (12.9%), 25-34 (17.6%), 35-44 (17.5%), 45-54 (19.5%), 55-65 (15.6%) and older than 65 (16.9%). The ethnic breakdown was: White/European American (82.5%), Black/African American (7.7%), Latino (5.9%) and “Other” (4.0%). Concerning religion, 67.6% identified as Christian, 17.1% as religiously affiliated but not Christian, and 15.3% as Atheist/Agnostic. With respect to education 35.1% indicated “high school only or lower,” 31.4 % indicated “some college,” and 33.6% indicated having received a “Bachelor” or “Graduate” degree. 2424 participants were directed to the survey, 1885 of which finished the survey (attrition rate 22%).

We followed recommendations to minimize the problem of careless responding in online studies. Specifically, we employed 10 random attention questions and time controls to check for data quality. There were 385 participants who failed more than one attention check or finished the survey in under ~22 minutes and were therefore excluded from the sample. For the 1500 participants who successfully finished the survey, completion time was 67 minutes on average (MD: 51min).

2 Descriptives

2.1 Means, SD, Range, & SE

Table 1: Descriptives
Descriptives for Dangerous & Competitive Worldview
mean sd median se
Dangerous_mean 4.46 1.21 4.50 0.03
Competitive_mean 6.01 1.91 6.00 0.05
WV 5.23 1.22 5.25 0.03
Note:
n = 1500, min = 1, max = 9
Table 2: Descriptives – Item Level
Descriptives for Dangerous & Competitive Worldview at Item Level
mean sd median
Dangerous1 4.00 2.36 4.00
Dangerous2 4.91 2.24 5.00
Competitive1 5.08 2.21 5.00
Competitive2 6.93 2.43 8.00
WV 5.23 1.22 5.25
Dangerous_mean 4.46 1.21 4.50
Competitive_mean 6.01 1.91 6.00
Note:
All items: n = 1500, min = 1, max = 9, se = 0.06. WV: min = 1, max = 9, se = 0.03. Dangerous_mean: min = 1, max = 9, se = 0.03. Competitive_mean: min = 1, max = 9, se = 0.05

2.2 Response Distribution

Figure 1: Proportion of each facet of Dangerous & Competitive Worldview at item level: Dangerous
Figure 2: Proportion of each facet of Dangerous & Competitive Worldview at item level: Competitive
Figure 3: Dangerous
Figure 4: Competitive

2.3 Correlations

2.3.1 Correlation Plots

Figure 5: Bivariate Spearman correlations: Dangerous & Competitive Worldview
Figure 6: Bivariate Spearman correlations: Dangerous
Figure 7: Bivariate Spearman correlations: Competitive

Note. Upper triangle shows Spearman’s rank-order correlations. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p < .05.

2.3.2 PIDF

Figure 8: Bivariate Spearman correlations by party identity: Dangerous & Competitive Worldview
Figure 9: Bivariate Spearman correlations by party identity: Dangerous
Figure 10: Bivariate Spearman correlations by party identity: Competitive

Note. Upper triangle shows Spearman’s rank-order correlations by party identity. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p < .05.

2.3.3 Correlation Matrix

3 Demographics

3.1 Social Class

Figure 11: Dangerous
Figure 12: Competitive
Figure 13: Dangerous
Figure 14: Competitive

Note on the Raincloud Plots

  • Statistical summary (top): Welch’s t-test (or ANOVA) results, effect size, confidence intervals, p-values, and sample sizes are shown above each plot.
  • Bayesian analysis (bottom): Log Bayes factor and credible intervals are reported below each plot.
Table 3
Table 4: Competitive as grouped by SES
(a)
SES N Mean SD
Poor 38 0.13 0.91
Lower Middle Class 298 -0.09 1.04
Middle Middle Class 679 -0.01 0.99
Upper Middle Class 395 0.03 0.99
Rich 90 0.21 0.98
(b)
SES N Mean SD
Poor 38 0.02 0.95
Lower Middle Class 298 -0.12 1.05
Middle Middle Class 679 0.00 0.98
Upper Middle Class 395 0.06 1.01
Rich 90 0.11 0.91

3.2 Gender

Figure 15: Dangerous & Competitive Worldview Facets, as grouped by Gender: Dangerous
Figure 16: Dangerous & Competitive Worldview Facets, as grouped by Gender: Competitive
Figure 17: Dangerous
Figure 18: Competitive
Table 5
Table 6: Competitive as grouped by Gender
(a)
Gender N Mean SD
Female 760 0.02 0.98
Male 740 -0.02 1.02
(b)
Gender N Mean SD
Female 760 0.09 0.95
Male 740 -0.09 1.04

3.3 Age

Figure 19: Dangerous
Figure 20: Competitive
Figure 21: Dangerous
Figure 22: Competitive
Table 7
Table 8: Competitive as grouped by Age
(a)
Age N Mean SD
18-24 years 193 -0.20 1.16
25-34 years 264 0.10 0.93
35-44 years 263 -0.02 1.05
45-54 years 292 0.02 0.98
55-64 years 234 -0.02 0.91
65+ 254 0.05 0.97
(b)
Age N Mean SD
18-24 years 193 -0.29 0.98
25-34 years 264 -0.16 1.02
35-44 years 263 -0.03 1.00
45-54 years 292 0.02 0.99
55-64 years 234 0.26 0.93
65+ 254 0.16 0.98

3.4 Education

Figure 23: Dangerous
Figure 24: Competitive
Figure 25: Dangerous
Figure 26: Competitive
Table 9
Table 10: Competitive as grouped by Education
(a)
Education N Mean SD
Less than High School 51 0.04 1.09
High School 475 -0.12 1.03
Some College 471 -0.04 1.00
Bachelor 310 0.08 0.92
Graduate 193 0.25 0.97
(b)
Education N Mean SD
Less than High School 51 -0.24 1.15
High School 475 -0.12 1.02
Some College 471 0.05 1.00
Bachelor 310 0.10 0.96
Graduate 193 0.08 0.96

3.5 Income Levels

Figure 27: Dangerous
Figure 28: Competitive
Figure 29: Dangerous
Figure 30: Competitive
Table 11
Table 12: Competitive as grouped by Income Levels
(a)
Income Levels N Mean SD
Less than $15,000 178 -0.09 1.05
$15,000-$24,999 180 0.01 1.02
$25,000-$34,999 176 -0.10 1.00
$35,000-$49,999 227 0.05 0.95
$50,000-$74,999 292 0.11 0.95
$75,000-$99,999 192 -0.04 0.92
$100,000-$149,999 160 0.04 1.04
$150,000 + 95 -0.10 1.18
(b)
Income Levels N Mean SD
Less than $15,000 178 -0.04 1.03
$15,000-$24,999 180 -0.15 1.04
$25,000-$34,999 176 0.12 0.96
$35,000-$49,999 227 0.00 0.91
$50,000-$74,999 292 0.04 0.99
$75,000-$99,999 192 -0.02 1.01
$100,000-$149,999 160 0.05 1.08
$150,000 + 95 -0.01 1.02

3.6 Ethnicity

Figure 31: Dangerous
Figure 32: Competitive

Note on the Okabe-Ito color palette. The Okabe-Ito color palette (seen above) is a set of colorblind-friendly categorical colors available in R. We are using this palette for graphs with non-ordered variables (e.g., groups, categories) for accessibility.

Figure 33: Dangerous
Figure 34: Competitive
Table 13
Table 14: Competitive as grouped by Ethnicity
(a)
Ethnicity N Mean SD
Caucasian/European origin 1237 0.01 0.98
Black/African American 115 -0.15 1.14
Latino 88 0.01 1.08
Asian/Pacific Islander 29 0.06 1.28
Native American 13 0.42 0.92
Other 18 0.08 0.80
(b)
Ethnicity N Mean SD
Caucasian/European origin 1237 0.03 1.00
Black/African American 115 -0.16 1.02
Latino 88 -0.22 0.87
Asian/Pacific Islander 29 -0.18 1.03
Native American 13 -0.33 0.82
Other 18 0.29 0.97

3.7 Occupation

Figure 35: Dangerous
Figure 36: Competitive
Figure 37: Dangerous
Figure 38: Competitive
Table 15
Table 16: Competitive as grouped by Occupation
(a)
Occupation N Mean SD
Employed 768 -0.01 1.04
Retired 268 0.08 0.86
Unemployed 146 -0.01 1.04
Parent 104 -0.12 1.02
Disabled 98 0.04 0.91
Student 85 -0.01 1.02
Full-time caregiver 31 -0.10 1.15
(b)
Occupation N Mean SD
Employed 768 -0.04 1.00
Retired 268 0.24 0.94
Unemployed 146 -0.04 1.02
Parent 104 -0.01 0.99
Disabled 98 0.04 1.02
Student 85 -0.29 1.00
Full-time caregiver 31 -0.15 1.02

3.8 Area

Figure 39: Dangerous
Figure 40: Competitive
Figure 41: Dangerous
Figure 42: Competitive
Table 17
Table 18: Competitive as grouped by Area
(a)
Area N Mean SD
Urban 955 0.02 1
Rural 545 -0.04 1
(b)
Area N Mean SD
Urban 955 -0.01 1.00
Rural 545 0.02 0.99

3.9 Religious Affiliation

Figure 43: Dangerous
Figure 44: Competitive
Figure 45: Dangerous
Figure 46: Competitive
Table 19
Table 20: Competitive as grouped by Religious Affiliation
(a)
Religious Affiliation N Mean SD
Christian 1014 -0.04 1.00
Muslim 9 -0.29 1.18
Jewish 52 0.27 1.03
Atheist/Agnostic 230 0.13 0.88
Not listed, No religion 195 -0.02 1.10
(b)
Religious Affiliation N Mean SD
Christian 1014 0.02 1.01
Muslim 9 -0.44 1.08
Jewish 52 0.04 0.99
Atheist/Agnostic 230 0.05 0.99
Not listed, No religion 195 -0.14 0.96

3.10 Section Summary

  Dangerous & Competitive Worldview
Predictors Estimates CI p
(Intercept) 4.95 4.69 – 5.20 <.001
Age 0.11 0.08 – 0.15 <.001
Income -0.03 -0.07 – 0.00 .054
Education 0.14 0.08 – 0.21 <.001
Gender (Male) -0.28 -0.41 – -0.16 <.001
Observations 1500
R2 / R2 adjusted .046 / .043

4 Political Behavior

4.1 Political Orientation

Correlation with General Conservatism, Economic Conservatism, Social Conservatism

Figure 47: Dangerous
Figure 48: Competitive
Figure 49: Dangerous
Figure 50: Competitive
Figure 51: Dangerous
Figure 52: Competitive

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

Table 21: Dangerous & Competitive Worldview and Political Orientation
Table 22: Dangerous & Competitive Worldview models and Demographics

4.2 Partisanship

Figure 53: Dangerous
Figure 54: Competitive
Table 23: Mean Dangerous by Party Identity (raw means)
Party Identity N Mean SD
Strong Democrat 351 4.51 1.28
Democrat 223 4.48 1.30
Leaning Democrat 124 4.69 0.95
Independent 84 4.43 1.17
Leaning Republican 111 4.34 1.01
Republican 255 4.36 1.22
Strong Republican 318 4.38 1.21
Table 24: Mean Competitive by Party Identity (raw means)
Party Identity N Mean SD
Strong Democrat 351 6.23 2.07
Democrat 223 5.62 1.83
Leaning Democrat 124 6.08 1.61
Independent 84 5.57 1.88
Leaning Republican 111 6.03 2.04
Republican 255 5.94 1.87
Strong Republican 318 6.19 1.84
Table 25: Dangerous & Competitive Worldview & Party Identity (7-point)
Table 26: Dangerous & Competitive Worldview & Party Identity with Controls

4.3 Religiosity

Figure 55: Dangerous
Figure 56: Competitive
Figure 57: Dangerous
Figure 58: Competitive

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

Figure 59: Dangerous
Figure 60: Competitive

4.4 Candidate Preferences

Figure 61: Dangerous
Figure 62: Competitive
Table 27: Candidate Preference and Dangerous [centered]
Candidate Preference N Mean SD
Donald Trump 444 -0.07 0.99
Hillary Clinton 371 0.04 1.07
Bernie Sanders 362 0.08 0.95
Ted Cruz 122 -0.05 0.94
Jeb Bush 83 -0.02 0.90
Gary Johnson 68 0.04 1.00
Rand Paul 44 -0.19 1.25
Table 28: Candidate Preference and Competitive [centered]
Candidate Preference N Mean SD
Donald Trump 444 -0.09 0.99
Hillary Clinton 371 0.04 0.98
Bernie Sanders 362 -0.02 1.02
Ted Cruz 122 0.26 1.02
Jeb Bush 83 0.15 0.89
Gary Johnson 68 -0.13 1.09
Rand Paul 44 -0.07 0.96
Table 29: Candidate Preference and Dangerous [raw means]
Candidate Preference N Mean SD
Donald Trump 444 4.37 1.20
Hillary Clinton 371 4.50 1.30
Bernie Sanders 362 4.56 1.15
Ted Cruz 122 4.39 1.14
Jeb Bush 83 4.43 1.08
Gary Johnson 68 4.50 1.21
Rand Paul 44 4.23 1.51
Table 30: Candidate Preference and Competitive [raw means]
Candidate Preference N Mean SD
Donald Trump 444 5.84 1.90
Hillary Clinton 371 6.09 1.86
Bernie Sanders 362 5.97 1.95
Ted Cruz 122 6.50 1.94
Jeb Bush 83 6.30 1.70
Gary Johnson 68 5.76 2.08
Rand Paul 44 5.88 1.83

4.5 Party Preferences

Figure 63: Dangerous
Figure 64: Competitive
Table 31: Party Preference and Dangerous [centered]
Party Preference N Mean SD
Democratic Party 560 0.07 1.05
Republican Party 508 -0.06 0.99
Libertarian Party 100 -0.04 0.90
Green Party 40 0.09 0.63
Tea Party 68 -0.13 0.98
Constitution Party 14 -0.08 0.89
None 120 0.00 0.96
Don't know 90 0.01 1.04
Table 32: Party Preference and Competitive [centered]
Party Preference N Mean SD
Democratic Party 560 0.02 1.04
Republican Party 508 0.01 0.99
Libertarian Party 100 -0.02 1.00
Green Party 40 0.20 1.00
Tea Party 68 0.24 0.92
Constitution Party 14 -0.04 1.06
None 120 -0.13 0.91
Don't know 90 -0.22 0.93
Table 33: Party Preference and Dangerous [raw means]
Party Preference N Mean SD
Democratic Party 560 4.54 1.27
Republican Party 508 4.39 1.20
Libertarian Party 100 4.41 1.09
Green Party 40 4.56 0.76
Tea Party 68 4.30 1.19
Constitution Party 14 4.36 1.08
None 120 4.45 1.17
Don't know 90 4.47 1.26
Table 34: Party Preference and Competitive [raw means]
Party Preference N Mean SD
Democratic Party 560 6.04 1.98
Republican Party 508 6.03 1.89
Libertarian Party 100 5.96 1.91
Green Party 40 6.39 1.90
Tea Party 68 6.46 1.76
Constitution Party 14 5.93 2.03
None 120 5.76 1.74
Don't know 90 5.58 1.78

4.6 Voting

Table 35
Figure 65: Dangerous
Figure 66: Competitive

4.7 Voting & Party Identity

Figure 67: Dangerous
Figure 68: Competitive
Table 36: Dangerous and Party Identity
Donald Trump Hilary Clinton
Strong Republican 282 7
Republican 166 24
Leaning Republican 58 7
Independent 17 16
Leaning Democrat 10 65
Democrat 27 129
Strong Democrat 4 323
Table 37: Competitive and Party Identity
Donald Trump Hilary Clinton
Strong Republican 282 7
Republican 166 24
Leaning Republican 58 7
Independent 17 16
Leaning Democrat 10 65
Democrat 27 129
Strong Democrat 4 323
Table 38
Figure 69: Dangerous
Figure 70: Competitive

4.8 Likeability

Figure 71: Dangerous
Figure 72: Competitive
Figure 73: Dangerous
Figure 74: Competitive

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

Figure 75: Dangerous
Figure 76: Competitive
Figure 77: Dangerous
Figure 78: Competitive

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

Figure 79: Dangerous
Figure 80: Competitive
Figure 81: Dangerous
Figure 82: Competitive

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

5 Politico-Psychological correlates of Dangerous & Competitive Worldview


5.1 Ideologies and Partisanship

Figure 83: Dangerous
Figure 84: Competitive

5.2 Populism, Nationalism, Nativism, and Patriotism

Figure 85: Dangerous
Figure 86: Competitive



5.3 Political Psychology

Figure 87: Dangerous
Figure 88: Competitive

5.4 Social Justice Concerns, Empathy, and Prejudice

Figure 89: Dangerous
Figure 90: Competitive



5.5 Values

Figure 91: Dangerous
Figure 92: Competitive



5.6 Pot-Pourri

Figure 93: Dangerous
Figure 94: Competitive



5.7 Positive and Negative correlates of Dangerous & Competitive Worldview

Figure 95: Dangerous
Figure 96: Competitive
Figure 97: Dangerous
Figure 98: Competitive

6 Elastic Net Analysis

Figure 99: Elastic net predicting Dangerous & Competitive Worldview: Political Psychology
Figure 100: Elastic net predicting Dangerous & Competitive Worldview: Ideology & Partisanship
Figure 101: Elastic net predicting Dangerous & Competitive Worldview: Demographics
Figure 102: Elastic net predicting Dangerous & Competitive Worldview: Attitudes
Figure 103: Elastic net predicting Dangerous & Competitive Worldview: Everything
Table 39: Elastic Net Summary
Elastic Net R² for predicting Dangerous & Competitive Worldview
Variable Group # Predictors
Political Psychology 5 .083
Ideology & Partisanship 5 .006
Demographics 5 .046
Attitudes 6 .771
Everything 21 .773