System Justification [2016]

A Politico-Psychological Analysis

Report generated

March 23, 2026

1 Study Characteristics

1.1 Items: System Justification

1.2 Sample

N=1500

To conduct a exploratory and a confirmatory large surveys during the general election, we hired a professional survey firm (SSI, a US-based market research company that recruits participants from a panel of 7,139,027 American citizens; more information can be found at www.surveysampling.com (now https://www.dynata.com/) to recruit a nationally representative sample of 1,500 Americans (50.7% women) who completed study materials during the general election from August 16-September 9, 2016. (Information about sampling and exclusion criteria is included in the Supplement). The age distribution was as follows: 18-24 (12.9%), 25-34 (17.6%), 35-44 (17.5%), 45-54 (19.5%), 55-65 (15.6%) and older than 65 (16.9%). The ethnic breakdown was: White/European American (82.5%), Black/African American (7.7%), Latino (5.9%) and “Other” (4.0%). Concerning religion, 67.6% identified as Christian, 17.1% as religiously affiliated but not Christian, and 15.3% as Atheist/Agnostic. With respect to education 35.1% indicated “high school only or lower,” 31.4 % indicated “some college,” and 33.6% indicated having received a “Bachelor” or “Graduate” degree. 2424 participants were directed to the survey, 1885 of which finished the survey (attrition rate 22%).

We followed recommendations to minimize the problem of careless responding in online studies. Specifically, we employed 10 random attention questions and time controls to check for data quality. There were 385 participants who failed more than one attention check or finished the survey in under ~22 minutes and were therefore excluded from the sample. For the 1500 participants who successfully finished the survey, completion time was 67 minutes on average (MD: 51min).

2 Descriptives

2.1 Means, SD, Range, & SE

Table 1: Descriptives
Descriptives for System Justification Items
mean sd median se
SJ1 4.95 2.01 5.00 0.05
SJ2 4.93 2.02 5.00 0.05
SJ3 4.60 2.27 5.00 0.06
SJ4 6.88 2.17 7.00 0.06
SJ5 5.51 1.98 6.00 0.05
SJ6 5.19 2.52 5.00 0.06
SJ7 3.82 2.21 4.00 0.06
SJ8 4.59 2.03 5.00 0.05
Mean 5.06 1.32 5.12 0.03
Note:
All items: n = 1500, min = 1, max = 9. Mean: min = 1, max = 8.62

2.2 Response Distribution

Figure 1: Proportion of each response categories for System Justification Items
Figure 2: Distribution of reponses for System Justification Items

2.3 Correlations

Figure 3: Bivariate Spearman’s correlations for System Justification

Note. Upper triangle shows Spearman’s rank-order correlations. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p < .05.

Figure 4: Bivariate Spearman’s correlations for System Justification

Note. Upper triangle shows Spearman’s rank-order correlations by party identity. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p < .05.

Figure 5: Correlation Matrix of System Justification items, Spearman’s rank correlations

3 Demographics

3.1 Social Class

Figure 6: System Justification as grouped by SES
Figure 7: Raincloud Plots showing System Justification grouped by Social Class

Note on the Raincloud Plots

  • Statistical summary (top): Welch’s t-test (or ANOVA) results, effect size, confidence intervals, p-values, and sample sizes are shown above each plot.
  • Bayesian analysis (bottom): Log Bayes factor and credible intervals are reported below each plot.
Table 2: System Justification as grouped by SES
SES N Mean SD
Poor 38 -0.44 0.91
Lower Middle Class 298 -0.26 0.96
Middle Middle Class 679 -0.06 1.03
Upper Middle Class 395 0.24 0.92
Rich 90 0.40 0.90

3.2 Gender

Figure 8: System Justification as grouped by Gender
Figure 9: Raincloud Plots showing System Justification grouped by Gender
Table 3: System Justification as grouped by Gender
System Justification as grouped by Gender
Gender N Mean SD
Female 760 -0.19 0.99
Male 740 0.20 0.97

3.3 Age

Figure 10: System Justification as grouped by Age
Figure 11: Raincloud Plots showing System Justification grouped by Age
Table 4: System Justification as grouped by Age
System Justification as grouped by Age
Age N Mean SD
18-24 years 193 -0.27 0.99
25-34 years 264 -0.36 1.01
35-44 years 263 -0.07 1.00
45-54 years 292 -0.05 1.00
55-64 years 234 0.28 0.92
65+ 254 0.45 0.83

3.4 Education

Figure 12: System Justification as grouped by Education
Figure 13: Raincloud Plots showing System Justification grouped by Education
Table 5: System Justification as grouped by Education
Education N Mean SD
Less than High School 51 -0.16 0.95
High School 475 -0.10 1.00
Some College 471 -0.09 1.00
Bachelor 310 0.17 1.00
Graduate 193 0.22 0.96

3.5 Income Levels

Figure 14: System Justification as grouped by Income Levels
Figure 15: Raincloud Plots showing System Justification grouped by Income Levels
Table 6: System Justification as grouped by Income Levels
System Justification as grouped by Income Levels
Income Levels N Mean SD
Less than $15,000 178 -0.26 1.00
$15,000-$24,999 180 -0.23 0.99
$35,000-$49,999 227 -0.11 1.01
$25,000-$34,999 176 -0.05 0.98
$50,000-$74,999 292 -0.01 1.03
$75,000-$99,999 192 0.15 0.94
$100,000-$149,999 160 0.37 0.88
$150,000 + 95 0.40 0.92

3.6 Ethnicity

Figure 16: System Justification as grouped by Ethnicity

Note on the Okabe-Ito color palette. The Okabe-Ito color palette (seen above) is a set of colorblind-friendly categorical colors available in R. We are using this palette for graphs with non-ordered variables (e.g., groups, categories) for accessibility.

Figure 17: Raincloud Plots showing System Justification grouped by Ethnicity
Table 7: System Justification as grouped by Ethnicity
System Justification as grouped by Ethnicity
Ethnicity N Mean SD
Caucasian/European origin 1237 0.04 0.99
Black/African American 115 -0.34 1.03
Latino 88 0.10 1.03
Asian/Pacific Islander 29 -0.11 0.86
Native American 13 -0.27 1.00
Other 18 -0.38 0.71

3.7 Occupation

Figure 18: System Justification as grouped by Occupation
Figure 19: Raincloud Plots showing System Justification grouped by Occupation
Table 8: System Justification as grouped by Occupation
System Justification as grouped by Occupation
Occupation N Mean SD
Employed 768 0.02 1.00
Retired 268 0.41 0.87
Unemployed 146 -0.28 1.08
Parent 104 -0.12 0.98
Disabled 98 -0.33 0.93
Student 85 -0.38 0.93
Full-time caregiver 31 -0.15 0.85

3.8 Area

Figure 20: System Justification as grouped by Area
Figure 21: Raincloud Plots showing System Justification grouped by Area
Table 9: System Justification as grouped by Area
System Justification as grouped by Area
Area N Mean SD
Urban 955 0.01 1.00
Rural 545 -0.01 0.99

3.9 Religious Affiliation

Figure 22: System Justification as grouped by Religious Affiliation
Figure 23: Raincloud Plots showing System Justification grouped by Religious Affiliation
Table 10: System Justification as grouped by Religion
System Justification as grouped by Religious Affiliation
Religious Affiliation N Mean SD
Christian 1014 0.08 0.97
Muslim 9 -0.16 1.29
Jewish 52 0.42 0.98
Atheist/Agnostic 230 -0.29 1.04
Not listed, No religion 195 -0.15 1.03

3.10 Section Summary

  System Justification
Predictors Estimates CI p
(Intercept) 3.52 3.25 – 3.79 <.001
Age 0.17 0.13 – 0.21 <.001
Income 0.09 0.05 – 0.12 <.001
Education 0.00 -0.07 – 0.07 .945
Gender (Male) 0.37 0.24 – 0.50 <.001
Observations 1500
R2 / R2 adjusted .111 / .108

4 Political Behavior

4.1 Political Orientation

Figure 24: Political Orientation
Figure 25: Political Orientation (Controlled for Demographics)

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

Figure 26: Correlation Matrix - Political Orientation
Table 11: Models of Political Orientation (SPRI) & System Justification
  Political Orientation Social Political Orientation Economic Political Orientation Composite Political Orientation
Predictors Estimates CI p Estimates CI p Estimates CI p Estimates CI p
(Intercept) 5.31 5.18 – 5.43 <.001 4.93 4.79 – 5.07 <.001 5.48 5.35 – 5.61 <.001 5.24 5.12 – 5.36 <.001
System Justification 0.37 0.25 – 0.49 <.001 0.30 0.16 – 0.44 <.001 0.46 0.32 – 0.59 <.001 0.38 0.26 – 0.50 <.001
Observations 1500 1500 1500 1500
R2 / R2 adjusted .023 / .022 .012 / .011 .030 / .029 .024 / .024
Table 12: Models of Ideology and System Justification with Controls
  Political Orientation Social Political Orientation Economic Political Orientation Composite Political Orientation
Predictors Estimates CI p Estimates CI p Estimates CI p Estimates CI p
(Intercept) 2.89 2.29 – 3.50 <.001 2.99 2.30 – 3.68 <.001 2.24 1.59 – 2.89 <.001 2.71 2.11 – 3.31 <.001
System Justification 0.13 0.04 – 0.23 .006 0.10 -0.01 – 0.20 .083 0.17 0.07 – 0.28 .001 0.13 0.04 – 0.23 .005
Age 0.29 0.22 – 0.37 <.001 0.34 0.25 – 0.42 <.001 0.27 0.19 – 0.36 <.001 0.30 0.22 – 0.38 <.001
Income 0.06 -0.00 – 0.13 .063 -0.02 -0.10 – 0.05 .536 0.11 0.04 – 0.18 .003 0.05 -0.02 – 0.12 .141
Education -0.19 -0.32 – -0.06 .003 -0.24 -0.39 – -0.10 .001 -0.02 -0.16 – 0.11 .723 -0.15 -0.28 – -0.03 .017
Gender (Male) 0.66 0.42 – 0.91 <.001 0.74 0.46 – 1.02 <.001 0.66 0.39 – 0.92 <.001 0.69 0.44 – 0.93 <.001
Observations 1500 1500 1500 1500
R2 / R2 adjusted .087 / .084 .075 / .072 .090 / .087 .092 / .089

4.2 Partisanship

Figure 27: Party Identity
Table 13: Mean System Justification by Party Identity
Mean System Justification by Party Identity (raw means)
Party Identity N Mean SD
Strong Democrat 351 5.07 1.39
Democrat 223 4.78 1.36
Leaning Democrat 124 4.77 1.38
Independent 84 4.58 1.16
Leaning Republican 111 5.00 1.32
Republican 255 5.31 1.23
Strong Republican 318 5.34 1.20
Table 14: Model of System Justification & Party Identity (7-point)
  System Justification
Predictors Estimates CI p
(Intercept) 4.81 4.68 – 4.94 <.001
Party Identity (7-point) 0.07 0.04 – 0.09 <.001
Observations 1466
R2 / R2 adjusted .014 / .013
Table 15: Model of System Justification & Party Identity with Controls
  System Justification
Predictors Estimates CI p
(Intercept) 3.49 3.21 – 3.76 <.001
Party Identity (7-point) 0.02 -0.01 – 0.05 .209
Age 0.16 0.12 – 0.20 <.001
Income 0.09 0.05 – 0.12 <.001
Education 0.01 -0.06 – 0.07 .879
Gender (Male) 0.36 0.23 – 0.49 <.001
Observations 1466
R2 / R2 adjusted .112 / .109

4.3 Religiosity

Figure 28: Religiosity
Figure 29: Religiosity (Controlled for Demographics)

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

Figure 30: Religiosity - Correlation Matrix

4.4 Candidate Preferences

Figure 31: Candidate Preferences
Table 16: Candidate Preferences (centered)
Candidate Preferences and System Justification [centered]
Candidate Preference N Mean SD
Donald Trump 444 0.10 0.96
Hillary Clinton 371 0.21 0.96
Bernie Sanders 362 -0.45 1.03
Ted Cruz 122 0.12 0.83
Jeb Bush 83 0.44 0.78
Gary Johnson 68 -0.10 1.03
Rand Paul 44 -0.15 1.04
Table 17: Candidate Preferences (raw means)
Candidate Preferences and System Justification [raw means]
Candidate Preferences N Mean SD Range
Donald Trump 444 5.19 1.27 1-9
Hillary Clinton 371 5.34 1.27 1-9
Bernie Sanders 362 4.47 1.36 1-9
Ted Cruz 122 5.22 1.09 1-9
Jeb Bush 83 5.64 1.04 1-9
Gary Johnson 68 4.93 1.36 1-9
Rand Paul 44 4.86 1.38 1-9

4.5 Party Preferences

Figure 32: Party Preferences
Table 18: Party Preferences (centered)
Party Preferences and System Justification [centered]
Party Preference N Mean SD
Green Party 40 -0.87 1.21
Constitution Party 14 -0.35 0.92
Libertarian Party 100 -0.29 0.96
None 120 -0.24 0.92
Don't know 90 -0.19 1.00
Democratic Party 560 -0.01 1.03
Tea Party 68 0.12 0.87
Republican Party 508 0.22 0.92
Table 19: Party Preferences (raw means)
Party Preferences and System Justification [raw means]
Party Preferences N Mean SD Range
Green Party 40 3.92 1.60 1-9
Constitution Party 14 4.60 1.21 1-9
Libertarian Party 100 4.68 1.27 1-9
None 120 4.74 1.22 1-9
Don't know 90 4.81 1.32 1-9
Democratic Party 560 5.05 1.36 1-9
Tea Party 68 5.21 1.15 1-9
Republican Party 508 5.35 1.22 1-9

4.6 Voting Preferences

Table 20: Voting Preferences
  2016 [Trump vs. Clinton] 2016 [Trump vs. Clinton] + Supporters 2012 [Romney vs. Obama] 2008 [McCain vs. Obama]
Predictors Odds Ratios CI p Odds Ratios CI p Odds Ratios CI p Odds Ratios CI p
(Intercept) 1.19 0.74 – 1.93 .469 1.14 0.71 – 1.82 .595 3.36 2.11 – 5.39 <.001 3.23 2.01 – 5.24 <.001
System Justification 0.97 0.89 – 1.06 .507 0.98 0.89 – 1.07 .594 0.81 0.74 – 0.89 <.001 0.82 0.75 – 0.90 <.001
Observations 1103 1148 1236 1206
R2 Tjur .000 .000 .018 .015
Figure 33: Logistic Regression, System Justification & Voting Preferences

4.7 Voting & Party Identity

Figure 34: Party Identity and Voting
Table 21: Party Identity & Voting
Donald Trump Hilary Clinton
Strong Republican 282 7
Republican 166 24
Leaning Republican 58 7
Independent 17 16
Leaning Democrat 10 65
Democrat 27 129
Strong Democrat 4 323
Figure 35: Predicted, Voting & Party Identity
Table 22: Supporters
  2016 [Clinton vs. Trump] 2016 [Trump vs. Clinton] + Supporters
Predictors Odds Ratios CI p Odds Ratios CI p
(Intercept) 2.29 0.95 – 5.68 .068 1.94 0.86 – 4.51 .117
Party Identity (dichotomous) 0.00 0.00 – 0.01 <.001
Party Identity (dichotomous) 1.47 1.22 – 1.77 <.001 1.47 1.23 – 1.75 <.001
System Justification 0.00 0.00 – 0.01 <.001
Observations 1103 1148
R2 Tjur .751 .725

4.8 Likeability

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.

5 Politico-Psychological correlates of System Justification


5.1 Ideologies and Partisanship

Figure 36: Correlates - Ideologies and Partisanship (by magnitude)
Figure 37: Correlates - Ideologies and Partisanship (alphabetic)

5.2 Populism, Nationalism, Nativism, and Patriotism

Figure 38: Correlates - Populism, Nationalism, Nativism, and Patriotism (by magnitude)
Figure 39: Correlates - Populism, Nationalism, Nativism, and Patriotism (alphabetic)

5.3 Political Psychology

Figure 40: Correlates - Political Psychology (by magnitude)
Figure 41: Correlates - Political Psychology (alphabetic)

5.4 Social Justice Concerns, Empathy, and Prejudice

Figure 42: Correlates - Social Justice Concerns, Empathy, and Prejudice (by magnitude)
Figure 43: Correlates - Social Justice Concerns, Empathy, and Prejudice (alphabetic)

5.5 Values

Figure 44: Correlates - Values (by magnitude)
Figure 45: Correlates - Values (alphabetic)

5.6 Pot-Pourri

Figure 46: Correlates - Pot-Pourri (by magnitude)
Figure 47: Correlates - Pot-Pourri (alphabetic)



5.7 Positive and Negative correlates of System Justification

Figure 48: Correlates - Positive associations
Figure 49: Correlates - Positive associations (alphabetic)
Figure 50: Correlates - Negative associations
Figure 51: Correlates - Negative associations (alphabetic)

6 Elastic Net Analysis

Figure 52: Elastic net predicting System Justification: Political Psychology
Figure 53: Elastic net predicting System Justification: Ideology & Partisanship
Figure 54: Elastic net predicting System Justification: Demographics
Figure 55: Elastic net predicting System Justification: Attitudes
Figure 56: Elastic net predicting System Justification: Everything
Table 23: Elastic Net Summary
Elastic Net R² for predicting System Justification
Variable Group # Predictors
Political Psychology 4 .345
Ideology & Partisanship 5 .036
Demographics 5 .110
Attitudes 6 .194
Everything 20 .487