| mean | sd | median | se | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Econ_SJ1 | 5.55 | 2.39 | 6.00 | 0.05 |
| Econ_SJ2 | 4.08 | 1.89 | 4.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ3 | 4.35 | 2.25 | 5.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ4 | 3.71 | 2.01 | 4.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ5 | 5.80 | 2.36 | 6.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ6 | 3.81 | 2.24 | 4.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ7 | 4.97 | 2.36 | 5.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ8 | 4.93 | 2.41 | 5.00 | 0.05 |
| Econ_SJ9 | 4.90 | 2.23 | 5.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ10 | 4.69 | 2.18 | 5.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ11 | 5.15 | 2.32 | 5.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ12 | 5.14 | 2.15 | 5.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ13 | 4.60 | 2.14 | 5.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ14 | 4.98 | 2.39 | 5.00 | 0.05 |
| Econ_SJ15 | 3.86 | 2.31 | 4.00 | 0.04 |
| Econ_SJ16 | 4.40 | 2.49 | 5.00 | 0.05 |
| Econ_SJ17 | 4.97 | 2.31 | 5.00 | 0.04 |
| Mean | 4.70 | 1.08 | 4.88 | 0.02 |
| Note: | ||||
| All items: n = 2759, min = 1, max = 9. Mean: min = 1, max = 8.29 |
Economic System Justification [2018]
A Politico-Psychological Analysis
1 Study Characteristics
1.1 Items: Economic System Justification
1.2 Sample
N=TBD
Sample description for the 2018 PPBS CINT Post-election study to be added.
2 Descriptives
2.1 Means, SD, Range, & SE
2.2 Response Distribution
2.3 Correlations
Note. Upper triangle shows Spearman’s rank-order correlations. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p < .05.
Note. Upper triangle shows Spearman’s rank-order correlations by party identity. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, * p < .05.
3 Demographics
3.2 Gender
| Gender | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Female | 1370 | -0.07 | 0.98 |
| Male | 1389 | 0.07 | 1.01 |
3.3 Age
| Age | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18-24 years | 295 | -0.18 | 0.94 |
| 25-34 years | 494 | -0.15 | 1.03 |
| 35-44 years | 451 | -0.03 | 1.01 |
| 45-54 years | 458 | 0.03 | 0.87 |
| 55-64 years | 470 | 0.05 | 1.11 |
| NA | 591 | 0.17 | 0.98 |
3.4 Education
| Education | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than High School | 312 | 0.01 | 0.91 |
| High School | 767 | 0.15 | 0.83 |
| Some College | 779 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Bachelor or higher | 901 | -0.13 | 1.14 |
3.5 Income Levels
| Income Levels | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $15,000 | 310 | -0.17 | 0.97 |
| $15,000-$24,999 | 275 | -0.15 | 1.05 |
| $25,000-$34,999 | 260 | -0.12 | 0.97 |
| $100,000-$149,999 | 384 | -0.03 | 1.06 |
| $35,000-$49,999 | 351 | 0.03 | 0.96 |
| $75,000-$99,999 | 355 | 0.04 | 0.95 |
| $50,000-$74,999 | 495 | 0.13 | 1.00 |
| $150,000 + | 329 | 0.15 | 0.98 |
3.6 Ethnicity
Note on the Okabe-Ito color palette. The Okabe-Ito color palette (seen above) is a set of colorblind-friendly categorical colors available in R. We are using this palette for graphs with non-ordered variables (e.g., groups, categories) for accessibility.
| Ethnicity | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Black/African American | 501 | -0.22 | 0.89 |
| Asian/Pacific Islander | 87 | 0.03 | 0.83 |
| Native American | 14 | 0.10 | 1.21 |
| Other | 35 | -0.73 | 1.16 |
| NA | 1976 | 0.08 | 1.02 |
| NA | 140 | -0.18 | 0.91 |
| NA | 6 | -0.09 | 0.86 |
3.7 Occupation
| Occupation | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Employed | 1334 | -0.02 | 0.98 |
| Retired | 634 | 0.20 | 1.01 |
| Unemployed | 273 | -0.09 | 0.98 |
| Parent | 126 | 0.08 | 0.94 |
| Disabled | 201 | -0.31 | 1.04 |
| Student | 153 | -0.17 | 0.99 |
| Full-time caregiver | 38 | 0.05 | 0.88 |
3.8 Area
| Area | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Urban | 723 | -0.16 | 0.98 |
| Rural | 658 | 0.08 | 1.06 |
| NA | 1378 | 0.05 | 0.97 |
3.9 Religious Affiliation
| Religious Affiliation | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 573 | 0.19 | 0.86 |
| Protestant | 1237 | 0.16 | 0.91 |
| Jewish | 72 | -0.40 | 1.12 |
| Muslim | 22 | -0.39 | 0.80 |
| Atheist/Agnostic | 420 | -0.54 | 1.24 |
| Don't know / refused | 435 | -0.08 | 0.93 |
3.10 Section Summary
| Economic System Justification | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictors | Estimates | CI | p |
| (Intercept) | 4.35 | 4.16 – 4.54 | <.001 |
| Age | 0.09 | 0.06 – 0.11 | <.001 |
| Income | 0.07 | 0.05 – 0.09 | <.001 |
| Education | -0.17 | -0.21 – -0.13 | <.001 |
| Gender (Male) | 0.12 | 0.04 – 0.20 | .002 |
| Observations | 2759 | ||
| R2 / R2 adjusted | .045 / .044 | ||
4 Political Behavior
4.1 Political Orientation
Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.
| Political Orientation | Social Political Orientation | Economic Political Orientation | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictors | Estimates | CI | p | Estimates | CI | p | Estimates | CI | p |
| (Intercept) | 51.52 | 50.57 – 52.47 | <.001 | 49.15 | 48.11 – 50.18 | <.001 | 54.08 | 53.11 – 55.04 | <.001 |
| Economic System Justification | 15.66 | 14.71 – 16.60 | <.001 | 16.11 | 15.07 – 17.15 | <.001 | 16.48 | 15.52 – 17.45 | <.001 |
| Observations | 2759 | 2759 | 2759 | ||||||
| R2 / R2 adjusted | .276 / .275 | .251 / .251 | .288 / .288 | ||||||
| Political Orientation | Social Political Orientation | Economic Political Orientation | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictors | Estimates | CI | p | Estimates | CI | p | Estimates | CI | p |
| (Intercept) | -21.97 | -27.90 – -16.04 | <.001 | -21.96 | -28.44 – -15.48 | <.001 | -28.93 | -34.98 – -22.89 | <.001 |
| Economic System Justification | 13.95 | 13.05 – 14.84 | <.001 | 14.25 | 13.28 – 15.23 | <.001 | 14.73 | 13.82 – 15.64 | <.001 |
| Age | 1.57 | 0.99 – 2.14 | <.001 | 2.12 | 1.49 – 2.75 | <.001 | 1.47 | 0.89 – 2.06 | <.001 |
| Income | 0.67 | 0.20 – 1.14 | .005 | 0.23 | -0.29 – 0.74 | .387 | 1.00 | 0.52 – 1.47 | <.001 |
| Education | -1.30 | -2.33 – -0.26 | .014 | -2.55 | -3.68 – -1.42 | <.001 | -0.15 | -1.20 – 0.91 | .785 |
| Gender (Male) | 1.72 | -0.17 – 3.61 | .074 | 1.54 | -0.53 – 3.60 | .144 | 2.64 | 0.71 – 4.56 | .007 |
| Observations | 2759 | 2759 | 2759 | ||||||
| R2 / R2 adjusted | .286 / .285 | .267 / .265 | .302 / .301 | ||||||
4.2 Partisanship
| Party Identity | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | 1100 | 4.24 | 1.03 |
| Republican | 819 | 5.34 | 0.79 |
| Don't Know/Other | 104 | 4.45 | 1.09 |
| Independent/Moderate | 736 | 4.71 | 1.06 |
| Economic System Justification | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictors | Estimates | CI | p |
| (Intercept) | 3.69 | 3.60 – 3.78 | <.001 |
| Party Identity (7-point) | 0.28 | 0.25 – 0.30 | <.001 |
| Observations | 1919 | ||
| R2 / R2 adjusted | .253 / .252 | ||
| Economic System Justification | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictors | Estimates | CI | p |
| (Intercept) | 3.84 | 3.63 – 4.06 | <.001 |
| Party Identity (7-point) | 0.27 | 0.24 – 0.29 | <.001 |
| Age | 0.04 | 0.01 – 0.06 | .005 |
| Income | 0.02 | 0.00 – 0.04 | .025 |
| Education | -0.14 | -0.19 – -0.10 | <.001 |
| Gender (Male) | 0.02 | -0.07 – 0.10 | .680 |
| Observations | 1919 | ||
| R2 / R2 adjusted | .268 / .266 | ||
4.3 Religiosity
Note. The y-axis shows residuals after regressing the outcome on demographics (Age, Income, Education, Gender). This illustrates how much the focal construct explains beyond demographic factors.
4.4 Candidate Preferences
| Candidate Preference | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 770 | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| Hillary Clinton | 714 | -0.28 | 0.86 |
| Bernie Sanders | 592 | -0.71 | 1.03 |
| None | 243 | 0.02 | 0.78 |
| John Kasich | 88 | 0.29 | 0.88 |
| Ted Cruz | 83 | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| Ben Carson | 82 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| Jeb Bush | 44 | 0.27 | 0.64 |
| Gary Johnson | 43 | 0.14 | 0.77 |
| Marco Rubio | 38 | 0.35 | 0.61 |
| Jill Stein | 32 | -0.82 | 1.13 |
| Rand Paul | 30 | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Candidate Preferences | N | Mean | SD | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 770 | 5.32 | 0.81 | 1-9 |
| Hillary Clinton | 714 | 4.40 | 0.93 | 1-9 |
| Bernie Sanders | 592 | 3.93 | 1.11 | 1-9 |
| None | 243 | 4.72 | 0.84 | 1-9 |
| John Kasich | 88 | 5.01 | 0.95 | 1-9 |
| Ted Cruz | 83 | 5.55 | 0.87 | 1-9 |
| Ben Carson | 82 | 5.35 | 0.75 | 1-9 |
| Jeb Bush | 44 | 4.99 | 0.70 | 1-9 |
| Gary Johnson | 43 | 4.85 | 0.83 | 1-9 |
| Marco Rubio | 38 | 5.08 | 0.66 | 1-9 |
| Jill Stein | 32 | 3.82 | 1.22 | 1-9 |
| Rand Paul | 30 | 5.63 | 0.84 | 1-9 |
4.5 Party Preferences
| Party Preference | N | Mean | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Party | 68 | -1.18 | 1.08 |
| Democrat Party | 1251 | -0.40 | 0.95 |
| None | 321 | -0.08 | 0.89 |
| Libertarian Party | 150 | 0.41 | 1.05 |
| Republican Party | 898 | 0.55 | 0.72 |
| Tea Party | 71 | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| Party Preferences | N | Mean | SD | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Party | 68 | 3.42 | 1.17 | 1-9 |
| Democrat Party | 1251 | 4.26 | 1.02 | 1-9 |
| None | 321 | 4.61 | 0.96 | 1-9 |
| Libertarian Party | 150 | 5.14 | 1.14 | 1-9 |
| Republican Party | 898 | 5.29 | 0.77 | 1-9 |
| Tea Party | 71 | 5.54 | 0.84 | 1-9 |
4.6 Voting Preferences
| 2016 [Trump vs. Clinton] | 2012 [Romney vs. Obama] | 2008 [McCain vs. Obama] | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predictors | Odds Ratios | CI | p | Odds Ratios | CI | p | Odds Ratios | CI | p |
| (Intercept) | 648.62 | 359.37 – 1201.99 | <.001 | 766.64 | 412.44 – 1465.06 | <.001 | 474.81 | 263.32 – 878.34 | <.001 |
| Economic System Justification | 0.30 | 0.26 – 0.34 | <.001 | 0.32 | 0.28 – 0.36 | <.001 | 0.35 | 0.31 – 0.39 | <.001 |
| Observations | 2759 | 2759 | 2759 | ||||||
| R2 Tjur | .157 | .058 | .130 | ||||||
4.7 Voting & Party Identity
4.8 Likeability
5 Politico-Psychological correlates of Economic System Justification
5.1 Ideologies and Partisanship
5.2 Populism, Nationalism, Nativism, and Patriotism
5.3 Political Psychology
5.4 Positive and Negative correlates of Economic System Justification
6 Elastic Net Analysis
| Variable Group | # Predictors | R² |
|---|---|---|
| Political Psychology | 4 | .606 |
| Ideology & Partisanship | 5 | .333 |
| Demographics | 5 | .049 |
| Attitudes | 4 | .481 |
| Everything | 18 | .635 |














































3.1 Social Class
Note on the Raincloud Plots